cognitive-biases

Systematic patterns in how the human mind distorts reality. Key types include: anchoring (over-weighting the first number you hear), availability bias (judging likelihood by how easily examples come to mind), framing effect (making different choices based on how options are presented rather than what they actually are), loss aversion (feeling losses roughly twice as strongly as equivalent gains), confirmation bias (seeking evidence that supports what you already believe while ignoring what contradicts it), overconfidence (expressing more certainty than your accuracy justifies), and the psychology of human misjudgment (Munger's catalogue of 25 tendencies that distort clear thinking). These aren't occasional mistakes — they're the default operating mode of the human mind.

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