narrative-fallacy
Humans have an innate tendency to create stories and patterns to explain random events, particularly after they occur. This narrative fallacy leads us to oversimplify complex realities, overlook randomness, and become overconfident in our understanding of the world.
Related ideas
Ideas connected to narrative-fallacy.
Cognitive Biases
The urge to make stories out of randomness is one of the deepest biases
Black Swan EventsAfter a Black Swan, everyone constructs a story explaining why it was obvious — that's the narrative fallacy
Signal and NoiseThe narrative fallacy is what happens when you mistake noise for signal and build a story around it