deliberate-calibration
Experts don't plateau because they're talented — they break through because they study their own mistakes until they can imagine what they should have done instead. Journeymen stay journeymen because they want to move on and forget. Tracking your decisions against outcomes, especially in a way that shields you from hindsight bias, is how judgment actually improves.
Related ideas
Ideas connected to deliberate-calibration.
Fast vs Slow Thinking
Calibration is the practice of forcing System 2 to check System 1's confidence
Overconfidence and CalibrationCalibration is the practice of fixing overconfidence
SuperforecastingSuperforecasters calibrate obsessively — they track every prediction against reality
Intellectual HumilityCalibration is intellectual humility made measurable
Feedback Loops and CalibrationCalibration requires feedback loops — you need to know when you were wrong