Believability-Weighted Decision Making

Giving more weight to opinions from people with a proven track record in the relevant domain.

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Related ideas

Ideas connected to Believability-Weighted Decision Making.

Building Idea Meritocracies

Idea meritocracies need a mechanism — believability weighting is Dalio's answer

Radical Transparency & Thoughtful Disagreement

Weighting opinions only works if information flows openly

Expert Intuition vs Pattern Matching

Who counts as 'believable' depends on whether their domain allows real expertise